People expected it would be close — but a new poll showing that the Brandon–Souris byelection race is within a few points has a surprising twist.
Global News reports that a poll conducted by Forum Research has Liberal candidate Rolf Dinsdale leading in Brandon–Souris, with 39 per cent support, ahead of Conservative candidate Larry Maguire, who trails with 35 per cent support.
That's within the margin of error, which is considered to be plus or minus five percentage points.
The NDP and Green candidates were tied with 12 per cent support each.
"For a federal Liberal to be leading in Brandon‐Souris is a strange result indeed," Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff told Global. "The Justin factor seems to be working right across the country."
The polling was conducted on Oct. 17–18, and was an interactive voice response telephone survey of randomly selected Canadians over the age of 18. Earlier this year, the company says that the technology was the most accurate in polling for the B.C. provincial election.
Byelections have been set for Nov. 25. Canadians will go to the ballot box in the ridings of Provencher, Bourassa and Toronto Centre, as well as Brandon–Souris. Forum Research says that their polls put the Liberal candidates head in all the ridings except Provencher.