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Poll shows Liberal lead in Brandon–Souris

Rolf Dinsdale and Justin Trudeau share a light moment in Brandon earlier this month.

COLIN CORNEAU/ BRANDON SUN Enlarge Image

Rolf Dinsdale and Justin Trudeau share a light moment in Brandon earlier this month.

People expected it would be close — but a new poll showing that the Brandon–Souris byelection race is within a few points has a surprising twist.

Larry Maguire

Enlarge Image

Larry Maguire

Global News reports that a poll conducted by Forum Research has Liberal candidate Rolf Dinsdale leading in Brandon–Souris, with 39 per cent support, ahead of Conservative candidate Larry Maguire, who trails with 35 per cent support.

That's within the margin of error, which is considered to be plus or minus five percentage points.

The NDP and Green candidates were tied with 12 per cent support each.

"For a federal Liberal to be leading in Brandon‐Souris is a strange result indeed," Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff told Global. "The Justin factor seems to be working right across the country."

The polling was conducted on Oct. 17–18, and was an interactive voice response telephone survey of randomly selected Canadians over the age of 18. Earlier this year, the company says that the technology was the most accurate in polling for the B.C. provincial election.

Byelections have been set for Nov. 25. Canadians will go to the ballot box in the ridings of Provencher, Bourassa and Toronto Centre, as well as Brandon–Souris. Forum Research says that their polls put the Liberal candidates head in all the ridings except Provencher.

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Sort by: Newest to Oldest | Oldest to Newest | Most Popular 7 Commentscomment icon

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Are there two Larry Maguires in the Virden area now ?, as according to -days paper (23 Oct), One of the Maquires, is reported a saying it wasn't him who vented comments on this website.


It's time to give a smarten up call to the Conservatives. The treatment of our veterans is disgraceful;the spending of $one billion on a new building for the intelligence agency;$190 million for temporary accomodations for the Senate;the Senate fiasco and cover up, etc. The list goes on and on.

How come? Perhaps because some candidates know the rules, do their homework, meet the clearly set out requirements and are prepared to start at a common starting point....this is pretty basic! You move on the puck before its dropped you are waved out of the circle, you jump the gun at a 100 yd dash etc etc. At what point in time are people in highly responsible positions expected to be responsible for their actions when it comes to meeting the basic first steps in attempting to prove their capability to be worthy to fill these roles? I say the application process is a good place to start.

I don't like the idea that we don't get to pick our own candidate and have to take Larry Maquire. Maybe Mr. Harper wants to make sure they have someone who will do exactly as he is told at all times.

I wonder how Rick Pauls would have done here. I will assume the Liberals #s are for the party and not the candidate in this situation.

Yes, too bad PC's pushed Larry in and pulled other candidates with great potential out.

Who did they poll? The liberal sheep!

I am not surprised,considering the way that Larry Maquire was ushered into becoming the only candidate the Fed. Conservative would accept , leaving the other willing candidates outside, wondering ….HOW Come?

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