Accessibility/Mobile Features
Skip Navigation
Editorial News
Classified Sites

Brandon Sun - ONLINE EDITION

U.S. flood risk still low: report

The risk of a major flood in the Red River Valley south of the U.S. border remains low, thanks to average snow and soil conditions and the expectation of another late spring.

In its second flood outlook of the year, the U.S. National Weather Service has predicted a 50 per cent chance of moderate spring flooding on the main stem of the Red River from South Dakota to the 49th parallel.

The U.S. forecasters based their predictions on average soil-moisture conditions, average stream-flow volumes and below-average snow-moisture content in the North Dakota and Minnesota portions of the Red River Valley -- as well as a high likelihood of a delayed thaw, similar to the one experienced across the region last year.

Warning-co-ordination meteorologist Greg Gust said in a statement a delayed thaw is good news, as a slow melt usually translates into less runoff at any given point and thus less flooding. But there is a risk of exposure to heavier snow and rain during a late winter, he added.

Colder weather should persist into late March and early April, but shouldn't hang around until late April, as it did in 2013, Gust said.

"This climate pattern suggests below-normal temperatures and near-normal precipitation, which should result in near- to above-normal snowfall, since colder air has less moisture and produces somewhat fluffier snow," he said.

The overall statistical probability of major flooding has increased a very small amount since January, when the National Weather Service issued its first flood outlook. Right now, there's a 50 per cent chance of moderate flooding on the Red River, which translates into a handful of road closures in Fargo and Grand Forks but otherwise minimal disruption.

The chance of a flood on the scale of the 2009 or 2011 events has been pegged at less than five per cent for both cities.

On the Canadian side of the border, the flood potential appears to be significantly below that of 2011 and 2013, reports Manitoba's flood forecast centre.

Manitoba plans to issue its first formal flood outlook later this month. While the snowpack around Winnipeg is high, the snow-moisture content is low here as well, Environment Canada said last week.

bartley.kives@freepress.mb.ca

  • Rate this Rate This Star Icon
  • This article has not yet been rated.
  • We want you to tell us what you think of our articles. If the story moves you, compels you to act or tells you something you didn’t know, mark it high. If you thought it was well written, do the same. If it doesn’t meet your standards, mark it accordingly.

    You can also register and/or login to the site and join the conversation by leaving a comment.

    Rate it yourself by rolling over the stars and clicking when you reach your desired rating. We want you to tell us what you think of our articles. If the story moves you, compels you to act or tells you something you didn’t know, mark it high.

Sort by: Newest to Oldest | Oldest to Newest | Most Popular 0 Commentscomment icon

You can comment on most stories on brandonsun.com. You can also agree or disagree with other comments. All you need to do is register and/or login and you can join the conversation and give your feedback.

There are no comments at the moment. Be the first to post a comment below.

Post Your Commentcomment icon

Comment
  • You have characters left

The Brandon Sun does not necessarily endorse any of the views posted. Comments are moderated before publication. By submitting your comment, you agree to our Terms and Conditions. New to commenting? Check out our Frequently Asked Questions.

letters

Make text: Larger | Smaller

Brandon Sun Business Directory
Submit a Random Act of Kindness
Why Not Minot?
Welcome to Winnipeg

Social Media